It is five in the morning and Orion the hunter is lying on  his side suspended over the horizon. Directly over me is Jupiter and through my  Swarovski binoculars I can make out two of its moons on opposite sides. A line  drawn from the middle star of Orion's sword and through his head points the way  to the North. I make a note of the direction in which I must travel. I want to  cut through the cluster of Blue Whale sightings which have been marked over a  Survey Department map on the wall of the naturalist's room at the Chaaya Blu  Hotel in Trincomalee. Mohan Sahabandu and A.G. Gayan, two of the Chaaya Blu  naturalists ensure that an extra tank of fuel is loaded on the boat. My  research trips can be long.  
                       I show Gayan the Orion nebula, a fuzzy patch on Orion's sword,  where a star had turned supernova and exploded. It's fuzzy; somewhat like my  chances of seeing a Blue Whale out here on a single trip because it's 5th  August and most of the Blue Whales should now have returned to the Arabian   Sea.  
                        In May 2008, I went international with credible data for the  hypothesis by Dr. Charles Anderson that an East -West migration of Blue Whales  brings significant numbers into Sri Lankan waters in a movement between the Arabian   Sea off the Horn of Africa and the Bay of Bengal.  The data so far, seems to back this up. During the whale watching season during  December to mid April, Blue Whales are seen easily off Mirissa as well as  Trincomalee. 
                       The timing and direction of travel predicted by Anderson  had been holding up well. He had predicted that they would be travelling East  in December/January and West in April. For example, on November 5, 2010, Anoma Alagiyawadu, the Jetwing  Lighthouse naturalist observed a spectacular movement of at least 25 Blue  Whales travelling East past Mirissa. By December there were a good number of  Blue Whales off both Mirissa and Trincomalee for the 2010/2011 season. 
                       Earlier, the data for the tail end of the 2009/2010 season  had also strengthened the hypothesis. We had some data points where we had  checked that the Blue Whales off Trincomalee were thinning off, as expected. On  2nd May and 3rd May 2010,  Jetwing Eco Holidays naturalist Suchitra Hettiarachchi whale watched with Dr.  Charles Anderson. They glimpsed a Blue Whale on the second day. They called off  a third scheduled trip to sea as it seemed the Blue Whales had largely left. On  May 5 and 6, Chitral Jayatilake, the Head of Eco-Tourism of John Keells Hotels  had another stab and saw a Blue Whale on the second day.  On May 19, with Jetwing Eco Holidays naturalists  Supurna Hettiarachchi and Suchithra Hettiarachchi and operations staff  Ganganath Weerasinghe and Riaz Cader, I looked for Blue Whales and failed. So  it seemed that Trincomalee's Blue Whale season ended at the same time as it did  for Mirissa.  
                       In April this year, on a two-week visit to Sri    Lanka, I once again concentrated my efforts  to collect more data on the Sperm Whale line which is just 15 minutes by boat  off the Kalpitiya Peninsula.  I spoke to Chitral Jayatilake, for a data check. The frequency of sightings and  numbers had dwindled and at best they were seeing just one or two Blue Whales  since mid April. In contrast, when I sailed on April 27 from Mirissa, Dr  Anderson who was out the same morning on another boat, estimated that no less  than 17 individuals were feeding in an area of 5 km square.  
                       All of this seems to suggest that the Blue Whales which had  arrived in the Bay of Bengal from November to January  were now leaving it, emptying out of the seas off Trincomalee and being seen  off Mirissa as they journeyed back to the Arabian Sea.  The tail end of the 2010/2011 season once again seemed to suggest that beyond  April, Blue Whales would not be present in sufficiently large numbers for  commercial whale watching to be feasible.  
                       No one had tested this although researchers did point out  that Blue Whales were present throughout the year. Anouk Ilangakoon, in a  marine mammal conference in the Maldives  in July 2009 had presented a paper on the presence of Blue Whales throughout  the year. In my dialogue with Dr. Anderson, he suggested that Blue Whales may  adopt two feeding strategies: those which took part in the East-West migration  and those that chose to stay around Sri Lankan waters (I wrote about this in an  article published in the Sunday Times on December 26, 2010).  
                       Lester Perera who had researched cetaceans for the National  Aquatics Resources Agency (NARA) in the  1980s was also adamant that he had recorded Blue Whales throughout the year but  was not sure why there were no recent records in the May to August period.  There was speculation from several people that the fighting had scared them  away.  I was convinced that I needed to  go out myself during the "off season" to have a look.  
                       Soon after my arrival at the Chaaya Blu, Mohan and Gayan  gave me a print out of the Blue Whale sightings between April 27, 2010 and November 14. Most of the data  I was shown  had been logged on trips by  the regular Chaaya Blu Naturalist B. Dayarathne, who had joined me on my  earlier unsuccessful trip.  
                       Between April 27,   2010 and November 14, there was data on 41 trips and Blue Whales  had been seen 14 times. This is a strike rate of 1 in 3 trips. On April 28, 2010, six Blue Whales had  been seen on a trip led by naturalist Nilantha Kodituwakku.  After that the records are mainly singles, or  pairs with one occasion where three had been seen. An additional data point on  18th November refers to unconfirmed sightings by fishermen of many whales  continuously 35-40km east of Swamy Rock (but I suspect the distance is closer  as fishermen rarely go beyond sight of land). 
                       The data and the naturalists confirmed that as with Mirissa,  during the December-April whale watching season, there is a marked increase in  the number and ease with which whales are seen. Speaking to Chitral Jayatilake  I gathered that between their first trip on February 21, up to April 11, they  had sightings on all but four days. Then it began to thin out. From Mirissa,  outside of this season, the seas can be quite rough because of the South-west  monsoon and hardly any whale watching is undertaken. So even if a resident  population of Blue Whales remains off Mirissa, it would be difficult to collect  data. In Trincomalee on the other hand, boats can go out during the South-west  monsoon (although the winds can create choppy seas) and there is a chance of  seeing the resident Blue Whales. 
                       When I arrived in Trincomalee on August 5, the hotels were  not actively promoting whale watching in the May to August period.  The prevailing view was that a commercially  feasible strike rate for seeing Blue Whales was not available. The previous  evening I had watched a shimmering thread of amber beads stretched out across  the ocean's horizon. These were fishing boats. I counted. There were 69 of  them. If there were enough fish for so many boats, there must be a big enough  food chain to support whales. I was filled with hope. 
                       I had heard reports that the boat used by the Navy was a  large powerful vessel which headed out to 30-40 nautical miles to locate Blue  Whales. I could not think of a clear reason for going out so far. I decided to  go with my instincts and to search for Blue Whales where the fishing boats  were. This also tallied with the cluster of sightings on the map in the  naturalist's room. 
                       On August 5, this year, off Trincomalee, I saw my first Blue  Whale in the so called off-season for whale watching. Close to N 08 34 441, E  81 21 176, where we encountered the whale, I texted the Jetwing Eco Holidays  operations team and the naturalists to alert them. I followed up with a phone  call whilst on the boat to Chitral Jayatilake to discuss the sighting. He  thought the Navy which had commenced a whale watching operation, may be a  source of current data as the large boat used by them could go out safely in  conditions which were too rough for the smaller boats used off the Nilaveli  Beach.  
                       I also phoned Lester Perera on the drive back to Colombo.  There were so many questions to be resolved. Are those Blue Whales which are  seen at this time of the year, permanent residents or do some alternate between  participating in the East -West migration and staying back in some years? If an  individual whale adopts a mixed feeding strategy, is this related to a  particular developmental stage? Do any whales come in from the West to East? Only radio  tracking and photographic identification over a long term will answer these  questions. I had been told of a sighting of a Blue Whale in Mirissa which had a  radio transmitter embedded. Where had that whale come from? 
                       A more immediate question was whether we could claim a  viable whale watching product off Trincomalee between May and August. Lester  had whale watched on 19th July, embarking off Nilaveli   Beach and not seen Blue Whales. Had  I just got lucky on the day or were there enough Blue Whales out there for a  mainstream tourism product? The data so far was too sparse. I needed the Navy  data. 
                        More data arrived soon. On Saturday August 13  I was at Talangama Wetland with Riaz Cader  when Suchithra phoned him to say he had scanned the sea from Swamy Rock. He had  made it a point to carry binoculars because he had been inspired by John Keells  naturalist Nilantha Kodituwakku's photograph of a Blue Whale near Swamy Rock.  Suchithra had seen a single Blue Whale. I sighed aloud that I needed the Navy  data. If the Blue Whales were so close, why was the Navy going so far out? What  was the strike rate of the Navy?  
                       Exactly a week later, an excited Jetwing Eco Holidays  naturalist Wicky Wickremesekera told me that Supurna had also seen Blue Whales  off Trincomalee. On Wednesday August 17, Supurna had also scanned the sea from  Swamy Rock through his binoculars. A few km out, he could make out three  simultaneous blows of Blue Whales. I told him of the view held by Anouk  Ilangakoon and Lester Perera. Inspired by this, he chartered the same boat he  had taken with me a year ago and set out on Thursday August 18. At 9.15 a.m. he had three Blue Whales in the field  of view, an estimated 5-6 km from the shore. The sea turned rough and on the  way in, they had another Blue Whale close to Swamy Rock. It seemed like to see  Blue Whales all one had to do was spend time on Swamy Rock.  
                       Sandie Dawe, the CEO of Visit Britain who was touring Sri    Lanka alerted me to a group she had met who  had seen whales the previous day with the boat operated by the Sri Lankan Navy.  The guide Ananda Perera from Jetwing Travels gave me a first hand account of  spending two hours at sea before encountering Blue Whales. They had several  sightings; at one time they had three in the field of view on Wednesday August  10. As I began to ask around for more first hand accounts, I spoke to another  person who had been on the Navy boat on Saturday 13th August. He could see five  Blue Whales spouting at one time and the Navy personnel had said there were six  Blue Whales out there. 
                        I had by now accumulated a fairly convincing collection of  data but the Navy data was essential. On Saturday August 20, I spoke to  Commander Kosala Wijesooriya, the project manager for the Navy's whale watching  operation. They had been running the whale watching on Wednesdays and Saturdays  starting from June 11 2011.  He was on his 13th trip. He was on the boat on the Navy's 15th whale watching  trip. They had seen Blue Whales on 13 out of 15 trips, a strike rate of over 80  per cent. He confirmed that the whales are only 6 to 8 nautical miles east of Pigeon   Island. The two hour trip to get  there was because they took a longer route to find dolphins.  
                       His distance tied in with what I had expected and the  on-shore and at sea observations. As Sri Lankan Navy A543 approached the Trincomalee   Harbour, with Commander Kosala  Wijesooriya on the phone to me, I knew the story was in the bag. There was now  enough data from first hand observations to take the story to the market that  there are enough Blue Whales resident off Trincomalee between May to August,  during what had been perceived as "off season" for Blue Whales.  This article represents the first effort to  compile observations to make a credible story backed by data to take the story  to press and tour operators locally and overseas, that commercial Blue Whale  watching is possible from Trincomalee from around late February/March when the  seas become calm  and through to August.  During December to late February, the seas may be rough off Trincomalee and  Mirissa may be a better option. As the Mirissa season starts in  November/December, Sri Lanka  now offers between 9 to 10 months of Blue Whale watching. 
                       But information based on a phone conversation is not  available for independent, external scrutiny. No one so far had made any data  available on-line. Would the Sri Lanka Navy be able to do it? At least the  date, time, species and number of whales seen? Asking for the GPS locations may  be pushing my luck. Or at least, can I take a look at the Navy log?  
                       Commander Wijesooriya hesitated. Releasing data would need  clearance. I said it would be crucial as eco-tourism relies on credible data in  the public domain for people like me to win the buy in of the media, clients  and the tourism industry. Making their data public would fill hotel rooms and create  employment.  There was a pause at the  other end of the line. "If it is going to help promote tourism in Sri    Lanka, the Navy will help you," he said  hanging up as the boat made its final approach to the harbour. On Thursday  August 25, Commander Wijesooriya called me. The whale watching data from both Galle  and Trincomalee, including GPS points was on-line on  http://whalewatching.navy.lk. Wow! I accessed the Navy's website and downloaded  the pdfs. My children were surprised at my excitement. In years to come there  will be 20-30 regulated and responsible whale watching boats off Trincomalee  generating millions of rupees a day I told them. It would be a much needed  focus for the East Coast besides the beaches. Tourists now could see The  Gathering of Elephants listed by Lonely Planet as one of the Top Ten spectacles  in the world and go on to Trincomalee to watch Blue Whales by boat or if lucky  from atop Swamy Rock with the use of binoculars.  
                       However, a review of the data and further conversations  revealed that the Navy had not distinguished between Blue and Sperm Whales. So  it is possible that the Navy's strike rate for Blue Whales may have been less  than the 13 out of 15 or 87 per cent it had seemed at first. As the log did not  refer to large groups of whales (typical of Sperm Whales), probably most of the  sightings were just Blue Whales. Even if the strike rate were to drop for Blue  Whales, if for Blue or Sperm Whales, there is a blended strike rate of over  eighty per cent during June to August. That is good enough for mainstream  tourism to offer whale watching from Trincomalee from March through to August. 
                       On Monday August 29, I met Commander Wijesooriya with Riaz  Cader and Ganganath Weerasinghe at Cinnamon Grand's pool-side cafe to pore over  the admiralty charts with the Navy data. Although Commander Wijesooriya had  served in and around Trincomalee on Dvoras and other Navy boats from mid 1997  to May 2011, he had never seen a Blue Whale. He was then pre-occupied with  looking out for attacks from LTTE suicide boats. There were only scattered,  hazy anecdotal accounts of the Navy encountering whales as they fought a  sophisticated enemy in the sea. I was impressed to hear that the Navy had the  foresight to trail-blaze whale watching in what was perceived as the off season  for Blue Whales. They took a gamble with no concrete data to suggest that they  will find whales. Now the tourism industry needs to realize that the Blue  Whales off Trincomalee are the East Coast's biggest international draw, beside  its beaches.  
                       As we talked, Libby Own-Edmunds joined us as and I learnt  that she had seen a Blue Whale on May 6. A few minutes later, naturalist B. Dayarathne  informed me that their boatman had encountered Blue Whales about 5 km away from  Pigeon Island on August 26th. Data continues to roll in. On the 24th August at  the Barefoot Cafe, I met some people who told me that a few weeks earlier their  friends had been discouraged by their hotel in Trincomalee from going out to  sea for Blue Whales. They had been told it was the wrong time for whales. All  that will change now.  |