World Bank's Lanka deal in April

* Grants, for the first time, to exceed $ 50 million this year
* Gulf war will not affect aid
* Preparatory meetings in Washington, Colombo before Tokyo summit

By Feizal Samath
The World Bank plans to next month announce its four-year financial package for Sri Lanka ahead of the Tokyo donor summit, which would decide in June on a multi million-dollar plan of assistance mainly for the northeast region.

"We are announcing it before the Tokyo meeting because we (World Bank board of directors) would approve it next month. We want to make it known as soon as possible because there is a lot of interest in (what the bank is offering)," said Peter Harrold, country director at the World Bank office in Colombo. "The pre-Tokyo offer is also in line with our aid announcement cycles."

He declined to give the quantum of World Bank support for the crucial next four years but said a grant, for the first time by the bank of $ 50 million would be made available this year. The bank has in the past provided only zero interest loans.

In a wide-ranging interview (details of which are reported on Page 8 and 9), Harrold told The Sunday Times FT that the Tokyo meeting of donors and international institutions on June 9 and 10 would be raising a massive amount of funds for the reconstruction phase and development in the rest of Sri Lanka. "It could be thousands … millions of dollars. We are looking at very large numbers," he said, when pressed to give figures.

The World Bank and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) are leading an international reconstruction effort in Sri Lanka's war-battered northeast region amidst ongoing peace talks. Figures of around $ 500 million have been suggested as the possible cost of rebuilding the northeast region.

Harrold said it was unlikely that donors would back out in case war breaks out in the Gulf region. "The primary resources of assistance that are anticipated (for Sri Lanka) are not from resources that are likely to be diverted to the Middle East. The resources that the World Bank makes available to Sri Lanka is not the same resources that we may make available (in case of conflict) to Iraq, which is a much less poorer country."

But he noted that Sri Lanka would be worst affected by lower tourist arrivals if the crisis escalates in the Gulf, much more than the impact on remittances, oil prices and tea markets.

Harrold said preparatory meetings ahead of the Tokyo meeting would be held in Washington and Colombo. The Washington meeting would bring together finance ministers, development leaders and Sri Lankan leaders attending the mid-April spring meetings of the IMF and the World Bank while a Colombo discussion in May would bring together donors, civil society, the private sector and academics.


Proposed "sili sili" bag ban on hold
By Quintus Perera
A government plan to ban polythene bags has been deferred until issues relating to its impact on industry and the environment are sorted out, said Rohan Pethiyagoda, advisor to the Minister of Environment and Natural Resources.

He was clarifying a statement by Sarath Wijesinghe, Chairman, Task Force for Plastics, who told a Colombo seminar last week that the planned ban on polythene bags was off.

Wijesinghe, presenting the five-year plan for the industry, said pollution was not (only) caused by the industry but by the consumer too, arguing that paper too was a cause for pollution and blocked waterways.

He said the best solution would be to create more public awareness on the recycling process.

Pethiyagoda told The Sunday Times FT that if a ban on polythene bags were to be imposed it would affect agricultural plant nursery bags, garbage disposal bags and a range of uses in medical products including the life saving saline containers.

He said that there were 400 polythene bag manufacturers and the ban would affect the industry and lots of people would be unemployed.

The most reasonable solution would be to raises taxes by about one percent and use this money to launch an awareness campaign through media and schools and encourage recycling.

The entire issue relating to pollution by plastics and polythene would also be placed before the public, the industry and environmentalists among other interested parties, and a consensus decision reached, he said.


Aitken Spence still headless
The Aitken Spence conglomerate is without a chairman following the sudden retirement last month of Prema Cooray after just over a year in the top job with tycoon Harry Jayawardena, a big shareholder, declining to comment about his intentions.

Cooray, who remains on the main Board for the time being as a non-working director, said last week his successor was not known yet and would be named in due course.

A Colombo Stock Exchange spokesman said the company had informed the CSE, as required under the trading rules, that Cooray would be resigning on February 28.

Jayawardena, a director with a sizeable stake in the conglomerate whose entry in April 2001 triggered speculation of a takeover, refused requests for an interview and dismissed suggestions that he would succeed Cooray.

Aitken Spence has been in the news with the Securities and Exchange Commission investigation into alleged insider dealing in its shares by former chairman and SEC chairman Michael Mack and two other ex-directors of the conglomerate.


IBIS bus privatization heading for a major scam?
The bus privatization deal involved British consortium IBIS, which has come under criticism, is heading for a disastrous scandal, according to authoritative sources.

Latest reports indicate that authorities involved in the transaction are attempting to provide a loan to the British company sans control of the 39 percent stake in the six bus companies, which is a violation of the bid document rules of the Public Enterprise Reforms Commission (PERC).

"Apart from that, a fresh valuation of the stock has been called for to raise the valuation figure originally recommended by Ernst and Whinney so that the loan amount could be increased," said one senior official. Officials from PERC or the Transport Ministry were not immediately available for comment.

Accountancy industry officials said they had also heard reports that a second audit firm has been asked to provide a fresh valuation of the stock.

The IBIS bus deal has run into a storm of protests from trade unions and opposition parties who have cried foul over the proposed transaction. The British-led consortium which successfully bid for the 1.5 billion-rupee stake is yet to make full payment though the deadline has passed.

The Transport Ministry has extended the payment date on two occasions. According to the PERC rules relating to this particular privatization, which are available on the commission's webside, the last date for final payment was March 10. If payment is not made, PERC has to cancel the bid and execute the bid bond which amounts to five percent of the purchase price, and then call for fresh bids.

"Now why isn't the bid bond being executed by PERC even though the (extended) deadline has passed?" asked a bus industry source.

Under PERC rules, the successful bidder would be entitled to a loan as working capital through a government guarantee with the bidder's 39 percent stake in the company being surrendered to the government as collateral. But since IBIS doesn't so far own these shares, transport authorities are trying to provide the loan without any collateral.

"If IBIS misappropriates the money, there is no way to recover the money in the absence of collateral. This could be one of the biggest scams in recent times," the industry source said. The loan amount is likely to be in the region of US $ 75 to 80 million.

Officials from the British-led consortium were also not available for comment. Industry officials said one of the biggest problems with the IBIS bus deal is that it lacks transparency. "The new United National Front government promised transparency in all its dealings but it is sadly lacking in this vital deal," the industry source added.


Petrol prices to rise again - Daham
The Ceylon Petroleum Corporation is being forced to raise prices of refined products this month because crude oil and petroleum product prices have shot up sharply owing to fears of a war in the Persian Gulf.

"There has to be a very significant price increase this month," CPC chairman Daham Wimalasena said in an interview last week.

The CPC also plans to get into the liquid petroleum gas business by entering into a joint venture with Laugfs Gas with which it already has an agreement, allowing the latter to reduce its LPG prices, he said.

International crude oil prices have shot up to $37 a barrel although they eased last week on the possibility that any war against Iraq might be delayed to later in the year when demand is expected to fall as winter thaws in key oil-consuming countries.

Wimalasena declined to say by how much domestic petroleum product prices could rise but noted that under the CPC's market-based pricing formula it cannot raise the price of any one product by more than two rupees a litre at any one time.

"Even if prices are raised by the maximum possible the CPC would still suffer a loss of around Rs. 500 million this month," he said. "The loss would be a billion rupees if we maintain current prices because crude oil and petroleum product prices are so high."

CPC reported a profit of Rs. 8.5 billion last year.

which it used to pay off part of its huge debt burden. It had Rs. 23 billion in debt at the time the government came to power in early 2001.

Turnover for the year ended December 31, 2002 rose to Rs. 105 billion from Rs. 95 billion the year before. The corporation also made the highest tax contribution to government coffers paying Rs. 26 billion in turnover and excise taxes, and about Rs. 6 billion more than the revenue expected.

"The government wants CPC to get back into the LPG business because of concern over rising gas prices," he said, referring to the proposed deal with Laugfs . "This is not possible immediately because we disposed of the infrastructure to Shell when the Gas Company was privatised. So if an immediate solution is needed the CPC must enter into a joint venture with existing players."

The CPC refinery at Sapugaskanda produces a small amount of LPG - around 50 tonnes a day - which can supply about 10-12 percent of the market. While the quantity itself is not significant the CPC has proposed giving LPG to Laugfs at a reduced price if it passes on the entire price reduction to consumers by spreading it across all its products, Wimalasena said.


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