| The 
              importance of Karuna to the LTTECutting through all the country's multifarious problems, ranging 
              from dengue to provincial elections, to rising crime to rising prices, 
              the northern insurgency succeeds in drawing our attention, once 
              again.
  The 
              Norwegian special envoy was here once again to meet the two warring 
              parties in this two decade and more long conflict. And once again, 
              he left our shores empty handed. This time, the LTTE deflected the 
              issue in a new direction. As both, our Political Editor and Defence 
              Analyst say in these pages, the guerrilla leaders brought out the 
              Karuna factor as the one and only item on the agenda. Everything 
              else, went into abeyance - in the backburner for another day. It 
              is quite natural that the LTTE would be upset over the fact that 
              the Government in Colombo, and the military high command were handling 
              the breakaway guerrilla leader from the East in a way that would 
              be to the detriment of their organisation.  They 
              have made a song and dance over the issue, saying they cannot trust 
              the Sri Lanka Army, and kept away from joint meetings between the 
              two to maintain the Ceasefire. As a reaction to all this, the Government 
              spokesman made a mess of things by making contradictory statements 
              about the UPFA government's role in the saga, and the incumbent 
              Army Commander paid the price for providing ' protective custody 
              ' to this ruthless fugitive. All this in what was a strained effort 
              to placate the leadership in the Wanni jungles.The fact that the 
              LTTE wants the Karuna factor sorted out is understandable in more 
              ways than just a case of wounded pride. There surely is more to 
              this.  Their 
              entire drum-beat of being the sole representatives of the Tamil 
              people in Sri Lanka has taken a terrific beating by this split in 
              their ranks. Without the backing of the Eastern Tamils - all those 
              Tamils residing in Trincomalee, Batticaloa and up to Ampara, the 
              platform of the LTTE claim falls apart.  This 
              organisation is already challenged for exclusive rights over the 
              Tamils by one-time militant groups now in the democratic mainstream 
              like the EPDP led by Minister Douglas Devananda. Elements in the 
              mainstream TULF like V. Anandasangaree, its embattled President 
              have joined forces with the like-minded EPDP, and have formed a 
              Common anti-LTTE Front. Mr. Anadasangaree has left for Europe and 
              together with sections of the anti-LTTE Tamil diaspora, they are 
              drumming up support to counter the LTTE. On the other side, Tamil 
              politicians belonging to the TNA have taken their campaign to win 
              legitimacy for the LTTE on to the world stage.  Next 
              week, TNA MPs R. Sambandan and Gajan Ponnambalam, now in Washington 
              DC have been granted an interview with the US Under Secretary of 
              State for South Asia, Ms.Christina Rocca. Their special assignment; 
              to request the US to lift the ban on the LTTE as a terrorist organisation. 
              Coming as it does in this background, it is clear that the LTTE 
              is in disarray, their only card - the deadly suicide strike. They 
              desperately want to get over their problems over the Karuna factor. 
              In this context, what is it that the government must do? Undoubtedly, 
              the government cannot behave like a terrorist organisation. And 
              yet, which government in the world doesn't behave like a terrorist 
              organization when dealing with terrorists?  It 
              would seem that the government has been in two (or more) minds, 
              unsure how to handle the LTTE split. It happened during an election 
              campaign, and it was like hot potato that fell on the lap of the 
              new government. Confused, to an extent frightened, the government 
              found scape-goats and valiantly washed its hands off.  From 
              what we see, there seems to be no way the government is capable 
              of handling a covert operation in using the Karuna factor to the 
              country's advantage in its fight against separatism. The only visible 
              answer seems to be to let him loose as a political entity, and hope, 
              that even if it does not pose much of a military threat to the LTTE, 
              it would at least challenge it in the East, politically, very much 
              the same way the EPDP is doing its job in the North. That of course, 
              would only prove its worth if there are elections, not sham elections, 
              but genuine, free and fair polls in the East. These polls are envisaged 
              in a 'final solution' to the proposed negotiations with the LTTE, 
              which bring us to the next question - where do the proposed negotiations 
              stand right now?  There 
              is some confusion that the LTTE has dropped its demand - or never 
              had it in the first place - to make the ISGA ( the interim self-governing 
              authority) as the “basis" for talks. We are now informed 
              that the LTTE simply wants " an interim authority " in 
              place, not necessarily ISGA, and they would welcome a counter proposal 
              from the government, which we sincerely hope remains the critique 
              of the ISGA made by the PA in November last year.  The 
              fear in the 'south' is that any "an interim authority", 
              and certainly ISGA is a fait accompli to a separate state. But the 
              Karuna factor has overtaken these events for the moment, and we 
              once again urge this government not to continue making the mistakes 
              of the past, and to have a wider think-tank, map out scenarios (like 
              the Karuna factor), collate Intelligence more professionally, study 
              what the LTTE says and does, and generally, have a more microscopic 
              look at the organisation, and how best to deal with it in the months 
              ahead. | 
         
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