A peaceful Prabhakaran?
so called Mahaveerar day speech there is the necessary chore of
examining it for fallout which is a task we undertake with no particular
pleasure. Prabhakaran played the part of the dove, albeit dressed
in military fatigues, and said that the LTTE is not preparing for
war. Why the LTTE in that event smuggles arms by the ship-load remains
unexplained. So does the fact that there are new LTTE camps as in
Manirasakulam (which the LTTE claims is a political office!)
has also maintained that only a small number of children have been
recruited in recent times for administrative purposes -- but that's
brazen too, because why is there any need to recruit children then?
To do administrative work?
Prabhakaran has then gone for the Presidential jugular, saying that
Chandrika Kumaratunga remains the only war monger. But if she is
the only leader who is preparing for war, how can it be explained
that the sacked Defence Minister Tilak Marapana also said that there
are new LTTE camps in Trincomalee?
next claim is that his proposal for an Interim Administration (ISGA)
is not for a separate state. But the fact that he wants the International
Court of Justice to settle any dispute between any putative Interim
Administration and the government of Sri Lanka doesn't bear out
this claim in any way. The LTTE leader cannot be ignorant of the
fact that the ICJ is meant to solve disputes between sovereign states.
Not that their constitutional experts missed this point either -
surely not with a former AG in its team - it's just that this is
the mindset of the LTTE.
The LTTE also
wants exclusive rights to the seas in the North and East etc., and
this goes along with plans to develop its own Navy. But almost in
the same breath, the LTTE, according to the Supremo, is not preparing
for war. The LTTE's way of seeing things may be different to that
of ours -- but clearly, they have yet to win the trust of the people
in the South. As far as we are concerned if it walks like a duck
and quacks like a duck it must surely be a duck. If the ISGA looks
like a separate state it eventually will be one.
through the barrel of the AK-47 on the other hand, as far as the
LTTE is concerned and this has been an existential truth for them.
Their bargaining power is solely and absolutely owed to the fact
that they have a standing army while adopting the tactics of terror,
with suicide-bombers to boot. While maintaining their bargaining
power in this way, it appears their political evolution has yet
to take off. But the upshot of that reality is that the Southern
polity distrusts this organisation immensely.
Prabhakaran's speech can be taken with a pinch of salt cyanide?
But not everything that Prabhakaran said can detract from the politics
in the South. The two main political contenders in the South, having
locked themselves in combat, knocked their heads in a desperate
power struggle. Now, they are putting these same heads together
- because they have come to realise there is no other way the country
can develop economically.
for most of these politicians consensus is probably an experience
that tastes worse than cyanide, they have come to realise that the
sickening politicking and jockeying for power is leading the whole
political tribe down the road of self-annihilation. To that extent
its self preservation that's the motive force -- they'd rather embrace
the sworn enemy than perish along with him.