Cement makers demand protection

By Suren Gnanaraj
Despite high expectations of a boom in the construction sector, local cement industrialists have cited poor planning and shortsighted government policy as the main reasons for the sector's downfall in recent months.

The construction sector fell two percent in the first three quarters of last year despite the peace efforts, the Central Bank has noted in its quarterly GDP report. The Sunday Times FT interviewed two key players in the industry, Holcim Lanka Chairman Manilal Fernando and the joint Managing Director of Tokyo Cement Company S.R. Gnanam, about the reasons that have dampened the industry's long-term prospects.

Holcim's Fernando was of the view that the Central Bank generally disclosed a conservative figure, and the actual decline in the construction sector was between 7-8 percent. Though there was peace, the economy was still stagnant, and there was a lot to be done in improving the country's economic fundamentals.

He predicted a very drab year, as in 2002, due to the government's move to slash capital expenditure in the budget allocation for construction and infrastructure. He dismissed claims that the recent peace initiative would cause a boom in the construction sector. "In the north nobody has a house more than two stories high. That's not construction, that's house building."

Airport
Fernando observed that initially the north would re-construct its airport and harbour which will increase cement consumption, but only for a short period of time. He indicated that high-rise buildings, dams and irrigation projects were limited to the south, which has had peace over a considerable period of time. "If the Colombo-Matara, Katunayake and Kandy highways get off the ground, then we could expect several construction projects in the central and southern region, which will be sufficient to create a boom in the industry," he said.

Gnanam of Tokyo Cement said that the Prima factory expansion project in Trincomalee helped the cement industry to survive last year, and with the re-opening of the A-9 highway to Jaffna and the launch of the Matara-Colombo highway, he was optimistic about the increase of construction projects during the year. The decline in 2002 was mainly due to the government granting approval to several parties to begin construction, without the Treasury releasing any funds for the commencement of these projects. Such medium scale projects were essential for the constant growth in the industrial sector, Gnanam said.

FTA
Another issue which was highlighted was the Indian Free Trade Agreement (FTA) which saw the entry of two Indian players in the market, L&T and Gujarat Ambuja, which according to the local competitors has created an 'uneven playing field', resulting in drastic cost reduction moves by both Holcim and Tokyo Cement.

Fernando said that profitability was very low in the industry, due to the competition between the 25 brands of cement existing in the market. "Prices may be rising, but profitability is extremely low." A bag of cement ranged around Rs. 360-380. Sri Lanka's total cement consumption for a year was 2.7 million metric tonnes.

Fernando said that the Indian cement companies were domestically paying only six percent interest on its borrowings and were additionally entitled to an export credit facility, unlike the local Sri Lankan industries, who have not received any sort of protection from the government. Gnanam said that the FTA with India was tailor-made to suit the two Indian companies, which are allowed to bring in cement at an import duty of 6.5 percent in contrast to local companies, which import cement at an import duty of 10 percent. The government has promised these two Indian companies that quick action would be taken to bring the import duty to zero percent in the near future.

"Sri Lanka has proved to be the ideal dumping ground for the excess volumes of cement manufactured by these two Indian firms, for which they (Indian cement companies) also receive a duty concession," he said, adding that the local companies were not given sufficient notice and time to prepare themselves to compete with foreign players in the market.

Gnanam reiterated that since cement was a high capital investment industry and every country attempted to safeguard these industries, and in fact some countries have five-year rolling plans, the Sri Lankan government too must have a similar policy so that local industries are protected. "After all Sri Lanka has its own raw materials and the infrastructure in place to produce the required cement quantity," he said. Anti-competitive practices by rival cement companies were on the rise, Gnanam said, alleging that Tokyo Cement's plans to set up a cement grinding plant in Ja-Ela recently was quashed due to large scale protests roused by its competitors.

Critical
Both Holcim and Tokyo Cement were also critical about the government's ad hoc policy decision making and the fact that the industry is not consulted in making vital decisions. Fernando said that the government had decided one and a half years ago to help local cement manufacturers by making gypsum, craft paper and coal duty free. Making use of the policy decision, Holcim had changed its firing systems to coal power. However, within one year the government changed its policy and in the 2003 budget they re-introduced a two percent duty on coal, which Fernando says has put Holcim's cost structures in disarray. "That's not policy. Policy must last for at least five years.

This is a classic example of a rudderless ship," he said. Holcim invested in a coal firing plant in Puttalam, in exchange for furnace oil, a by-product of petroleum, which Fernando says, has slashed its total energy costs by 40 percent.

When asked as to the outcome of the recommendations made by the industry to the government, Gnanam said that the import duty on raw materials, namely clinker, was reduced to two percent from India, and 2.5 percent from other countries.

The reduction of VAT on the service industry from 20 to 10 percent is in the right direction but this should be further strengthened by offering this to the core industries like cement manufacturers, he added.

Fernando said that the industry had lost confidence in the government and despite several discussions, nothing had come out of them. Though the Industries Ministry had put forward proposals to help the industry, they were not approved by the Finance Ministry owing to the possible loss of revenue.

Because of the prevailing peace in the North, Gnanam said that Tokyo Cement was adopting a 'wait and see' policy as to whether it should pump in the $40 million necessary to resuscitate the previously shut down Kankesanthurai plant in Jaffna. Though Holcim initially expressed their interest in acquiring this plant, Fernando said that the plant required a lot of capital, and considering the fact that it could produce nearly one million tonnes of cement, it would raise problems of selling the excess amount. Fernando said, "When cement just flows in from India and is bagged, duty free, with no labour charges, no proper taxes, how can we compete with these foreign companies?" If the government continued in this trend Holcim would also have to be just an importer.

Gnanam said that when operating a bagging plant the value addition was only 5-10 percent whereas in a grinding plant (to make cement with imported raw materials) the value addition is around 40 percent. In an integrated plant like Holcim Lanka the value addition is around 85 percent. Gnanam admitted that the danger today is that the incentives offered under the FTA will encourage bagging plants thereby protecting a foreigners' industry, instead of providing protection to companies like Tokyo Cement, who have developed their own infrastructure in the Trincomalee jetty.
Mining

At present Holcim Lanka is the only local company to have its own mining sites in Puttalam. However, Tokyo Cement has also been looking in to the possibility of developing its own raw materials. Gnanam said that attempts were made to find mining sites 20 kilometres from Puttalam, but they failed due to the limestone reserves not being viable. However, he said that a few sites had been identified in Mannar, and the company was currently awaiting clearance from the Geographical Survey and Mines Bureau to commence operations. He was upbeat about the fact that there was a very good source of limestone in Jaffna and the new technology that is available now is environmentally friendly, unlike when the Cement Corporation originally set up their plant in Kankesanturai.

Meanwhile, Tokyo Cement is planning to introduce 'blended cement' within the next six months, using raw materials such as fly ash (waste from coal power plants), and slag (waste from steel industries) which have excellent cement binding properties. Gnanam said, "In India they use 30-40 percent of these raw materials in their cement," adding that it was environmentally friendly. He said that blended cement is high in quality, but the early strength is slightly lower than the conventional (ordinary Portland cement) mix, but the final strength and durability is much greater than the conventional cement.

Gnanam said that the new raw material would significantly reduce manufacturing costs, especially because these are either waste products or cheaper material. He also said that Tokyo Cement is to invest in a second bulk carrier (vessel used to transport clinker) by the end of the fourth quarter in 2003.

Interestingly, both these companies have established training centres to provide masons with a quality technical education on the various types of cement and their application from concreting, plastering, tiling to other masonry techniques. An examination is held at the end of the programme, after which the successful participants are awarded a certificate by the National Apprentice & Industrial Training Authority.

This has not only brought upon some dignity to the profession, but has also provided an opportunity for masons to visit the cement manufacturing plants and witness the various procedures involved in the manufacturing process.

Flat year
Speaking on long term profitability of the company, Fernando said that Holcim was expecting a flat year, which would hopefully pick up during the latter half, if the peace process was stable. Gnanam said, "I expect the group turnover to increase by 25 percent due to introduction of a new brand (Samudra cement) and entry in to the Western Province by the Tokyo Cement Group. However, we expect a drop in the bottom line (profitability) due to unhealthy competition caused by the shrinkage of overall market demand and increases in the price of raw materials and energy costs. "

The industry's long-term decisions will depend purely on the government's policy to promote and protect the country's high investment in the cement industry.

Central Bank says trade deficit rose in December 2002

Sri Lankan exports and imports recorded sharp increases in December, 2002, which was an improvement largely supported by strong performance of textiles and garments and petroleum products.

Exports earnings in US dollar terms grew by 27 per cent in December, 2002 compared to the level recorded in December, 2001. Similarly, expenditure on imports measured in US dollar terms too increased sharply by 52 per cent in December, 2002 further continuing its upward trend experienced since July, 2002. However, the increase in export earnings in December was not sufficient to cover the increase in the import bill, and, hence, the trade deficit widened to US dollars 132 million in December, 2002 compared to a deficit of US dollars 21 million in December, 2001.

Despite an increase in export earnings in December, the overall year saw a reduction of such earnings by 2.4 per cent, in comparison to 2001. This was due to the larger decline experienced in the early part of 2002. Accordingly, as at June 2002, the cumulative decline in export earnings was at a peak of 17 per cent, but this fell to 8 per cent by the end of September, to 5 per cent as at end November, and finally to 2.4 per cent by end December, 2002, reflecting the impact of a positive export growth of 8 per cent and 18 per cent recorded during the third and fourth quarters, respectively. However, annual imports increased by 2.2 per cent during 2002. The drop in annual exports and the increase in imports have caused the trade deficit in 2002 to increase by 22 per cent to US dollar, 1,406 million, compared with a deficit of US dollar 1,157 million recorded during 2001.

Exports
The export earnings in December, 2002 were US dollars 496 million, compared with US dollars 391 million in December, 2001. The total export earnings during 2002 were US dollars 4,699 million, compared with export earnings of US dollars 4,817 million recorded during 2001.

The total export volume increased by 2.0 per cent, while prices declined by 4.3 per cent in 2002.

Earnings from textiles and garment exports increased by 21 per cent to US dollars 277 million in December, 2002. This was the combined effect of a 2.4 per cent increase in the unit price and an 18 per cent increase in the volume. Other industrial exports increased by 56 per cent reflecting higher exports of machinery, mechanical and electrical equipment (97 per cent), rubber based products (35 per cent), diamonds (38 per cent), crustaceans and molluscs and other fish products (141 per cent), tableware (23 per cent), plastic (33 per cent), chemical products (5 per cent) and footwear (42 per cent). Earnings from petroleum products increased by 96 per cent, due to the combined effect of a 20 per cent increase in the unit price and a 64 per cent increase in the volume. However, declines in export earnings were recorded in travel goods (-49 per cent).

Earnings from agricultural products increased by 8 per cent in December, 2002 due to the increase in the export of rubber, coconut and other agricultural exports. Despite higher prices, earnings from tea, at US dollars 51.6 million, recorded a decline of 1.2 per cent in December, 2002 due to the lower export volume. However, tea production during 2002 recorded an increase of 15 million kgs compared to 2001 due to favourable weather conditions during the latter half of the year. Earnings from coconut and rubber recorded substantial increases, while unmanufactured tobacco, pepper, cinnamon, betel leaves and fruits and vegetables recorded a moderate growth during the month of December, 2002.

Imports
Expenditure on imports, at US dollars 627 million, was the highest monthly value recorded during the year. It showed an increase of 52 per cent in December, 2002 over imports of US dollars 412 million recorded in December, 2001.

The expenditure on imports, which decreased by 16 per cent and 5 per cent during the first and second quarters 2002, respectively, turned around in the second half recording increases of 8.4 per cent and 25.3 per cent during the third quarter and fourth quarters respectively. Thus cumulative expenditure on imports during 2002 was US dollars 6,105 million, an increases of 2.2 per cent over 2001.

The major contributory factors for the increase of imports was high expenditure on crude on, non food consumer durables and food imports. The total import volume recorded an increase of 11.0 per cent, while prices recorded a decline of 7.9 per cent in 2002.

The import of consumer goods increased by 38 per cent in December, 2002.

Within this category, food imports recorded an increase of 19 per cent. Imports of non-food consumer goods increased by 59 per cent, mainly due to a substantial increase in the imports of motor cars and cycles, radio receivers and TV sets.

Intermediate goods imports increased by 42 per cent due to higher imports of crude oil, fertilizer, textiles, other petroleum products, chemicals, dyes and colouring material, paper and paper products, and diamonds.

 


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