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Signs of the Times: 2002
Enter the new empire or vampire?
By Louis Benedict and Ameen Izzadeen
After more than 25 years of globalised capitalism and ten years during which the United States has been emerging as the newest, biggest and most devastating, if not, diabolical, empire in history, figures given at the Earth Summit this year show a scenario where the world appears to be zooming towards a self-destructive catastrophe.

The figures highlighted at the Earth Summit in Johannesburg appear to be like the material for the most horrifying earthquake of all time. More than 80 percent of the world's wealth and resources are being controlled, manipulated and extravagantly abused by some 15 percent of the population comprising mainly the rich and ruling elite under an unseen, but all-powerfu,l world government run by US-led global corporations. Nearly three billion people - half the world's population - are known to be surviving on less than two dollars a day while sections in the rich world are known to be making profits of two dollars a second.

Even tonight, some 800 million people, mainly in the Third World, will try to fall asleep without a meal because they are enslaved in absolute poverty - they don't know whether or where the next loaf of bread would come from. Prophets like Mahatma Gandhi, virtually forgotten or sidelined even in his homeland of India amidst the modern rat race, had often pointed out that the world had enough to meet the needs of all people but not the greed of some. Not satisfied with leaving 800 million people in abject poverty and three billion below the poverty line, a greedy world system is now taking even what belongs to animals, fish and insects.

According to a warning given at the Earth Summit, as many as 11,000 species, including some mammals, will be extinct within a decade because a selfish world is gradually plundering their habitat.

Despite all the pledges, aid and structural adjustments of poverty alleviation, grants and loans, the gap between the poor world and the rich world is widening. Essentially, the new global bodies like the World Trade Organisation - which the Third World analysts see more as a World Economic Terror Organisation - are known to be tearing down national barriers and threatening the very sovereignty of nations so that transnational corporations could continue what is widely seen as corporate gangrape of the Third World's remaining resources. The poor Third World had been lulled into believing that the political or military colonialism of the rich West had ended and that the sun had set on the great empires. What was done then was at least done openly. Now it continues underground but with more devastating force through economic neo-colonialism guided by the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld-Rice corporation. The Third World is being robbed without even knowing it is being robbed and no wonder, some strategists of globalised capitalism refer to Third World leaders and the people as 'useful idiots'.

In 2001, the Bush administration shook and shocked the world by pulling out of the Kyoto Protocol which seeks to protect the planet from the growing threat greenhouse gases - the threat coming mainly from the US, which is the biggest polluter. This year, the US withdrew from and threatened to undermine the international criminal court and unilaterally cancelled the anti-ballistic missile treaties to propel a huge new arms race. Finally as the year drew to an end, the US dealt a death blow to hundreds of millions of sick people in the Third World by refusing to allow a move which would have enabled poor countries to obtain life-saving drugs at affordable prices.

According to the London Guardian, the US sabotaged this move at the WTO talks in Geneva last week in an operation personally directed by US Vice President Dick Cheney. The Guardian said Mr. Cheney had taken over the operation from the US trade representative apparently under pressure from big US drug companies and lobbies - giving credence to a widely-held belief that the treatment which the Bush empire or Corporate America is proposing might be deadlier than any pandemic the world has faced. Just as the Roman empire rotted from within and the British empire was overthrown by a barefoot prophet of peace, the signs of the rot in the empire of the third millennium also appear to be emerging with the disgraceful and disastrous collapse of big global corporations and the snipers who terrorised Washington for weeks.

The year of Bush and American empire-building by the Texan Caesar began with the world focus on Afghanistan and is ending with the focus on Saddam Hussein's Iraq where all-out war is becoming increasingly possible, if not unavoidable.

Whatever may be happening in Afghanistan now, whatever Osama bin Laden, Mullah Mohammed Omar and others may be planning to do, one of the main objectives of the Bush administration and the global corporations is being quietly but efficiently worked out.

Seven years ago, Afghanistan's Taleban regime, blocked a plan by a US-led oil consortium to build a multi-billion dollar oil and gas pipeline across Central Asia. Experts have pointed out that a large part of the yet unexploited oil resources of the world is in Central Asia. What the Taleban stopped is now being renewed and one of the biggest ever oil-gas deals between the countries in the region and global corporations is to be formalised soon.

With Afghanistan temporarily wrapped up to serve the interests of the Bush corporation, the war of words and the psychological onslaught have switched to Iraq. If further proof were needed that the United Nations is largely a tool or puppet of the US, it was provided in the past two months with even the Security Council being bullied or bulldozed into doing what the Bush administration wanted it to do.

France and Russia, especially put up stiff resistance, against the Security Council giving any blank cheque for the US to attack Iraq, disarm Saddam Hussein and bring about a regime change. Eventually, a compromise was reached but the US retained the power to interpret what would constitute a 'material breach' of the UN resolution by Iraq.

In this atmosphere, the UN weapons inspectors led by Hans Blix went back to Iraq and in accordance with the UN resolution, the Baghdad regime submitted a 12,000-page dossier by December 7. What happened to the dossier was like a diplomatic coup. The US obtained copies of the full dossier for itself and the other four permanent members of the Security Council, while the remaining ten-member states, including Syria, which has a long border with Iraq, got only edited versions. Syria protested angrily, while US Secretary of State Colin Powel officially dismissed the Iraqi dossier as recycled rubbish. Britain hit even harder saying the Iraqi dossier gave the Bush-Blair coalition the right to attack Iraq even now.

Over the past week, Iraq said it was ready to allow even CIA agents to come there and look for any weapons of mass destruction, but the US dismissed this as a publicity stunt though it said it would meet the request of UN weapons inspectors and provide secret information it had on biological, chemical or nuclear weapons in Iraq.

The US also demanded that the weapons inspectors should interview Iraqi scientists and go to the extent of taking some of them out of the country even against their will for interrogation as part of a more aggressive game plan. But whatever the inspectors find or do not find, most military and political analysts believe that the Bush administration is all set for a full-scale sea, land and air attack on Iraq, possibly some time in February.

One report from Britain said that unlike the Operation in Afghanistan, the attack on Iraq is likely to be spearheaded by a massive marine force with support from troops from Kuwait, Turkey, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and other bases.

As award-winning writer Arundati Roy says, there is growing evidence that the real religion for the United States and the West is the market. In the name of this new religion, a crusade has been launched with hallelujahs and all that, identifying Iraq, Iran and North Korea as the axis of evil. But many Third World analysts say there is much validity for the contention that the finger could also be pointed the other way with the US, Britain and Ariel Sharon's Israel also emerging as an axis of evil.

By the year's end, an arrogant Bush administration announced that it was going ahead with the multi-billion dollar missile defence system or star wars. This would obviously mean that Russia, China, Britain, France, India, Pakistan and other countries would also follow, triggering a massive new arms race and booming business for the arms industry which is based largely in the US.

So within the next few years, the US economy which is now sluggish, if not in recession, is likely to boom again, mainly from star wars business - but millions of people in the Third World would have to pay for it with their lives. Where and what indeed is the axis of evil?

Oppression continues
As the Bush administration used world TV channels and other means to keep the world spotlight on Iraq, the root of the West Asian conflict was allowed to rot with a Palestinian spokesman saying this week it was the worst Christmas for the most oppressed people in the world.

Before 9/11 and the eyeball-to-eyeball confrontation with Saddam Hussein, the Bush administration was known to be working on a road map to sort out the West Asian conflict. But now, the road map is stuck in a road block while Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon pressurised by the even more hawkish foreign minister Benyamin Netanyahu making it the most horrible year for the Palestinian people.

Again this year, Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat was not allowed to go for a Christmas service in Bethlehem and the little town of biblical fame lay not in a deep and dreamless sleep but in a nightmare of outrageous oppression.

With the US likely to be focussing on Iraq for the next few months at least, the elections to the Palestinian parliament have been put off indefinitely and the areas in and around the holy cities remain a living hell for millions of people.

Setback for secularism
The postponement of the South Asian summit with India and Pakistan accusing each other of sabotaging the regional grouping climaxed a year during which the two neighbours in the subcontinent intensified their confrontation. In Gandhinagar, capital of Indian state of Gujarat, Mahatma Gandhi might have died a thousand deaths over what happened this year and particularly this month. The year saw some of the worst communal riots where thousands of minority Muslims were massacred or forced to flee while the state government of hardline Chief Minister Narendra Modi allegedly condoned the butchery.

If that was bad, worse was to follow. In state elections this month, Mr. Modi was given a thumping two thirds majority - signalling a potentially calamitous trend where a secular India may be plunging towards Hindu fundamentalism.

The developments in neighbouring Pakistan were no less ominous. In the aftermath of the war in Afghanistan, the pro-American stance of the Musharraf regime provoked a growing trend towards Islamic militancy or fundamentalism.

Though General Pervez Musharraf stage managed and manipulated the process to a large degree, the October elections produced a situation where Islamic parties won two states and got a controlling stake at the national level.

Across the ever-explosive Kashmiri border, the faceoff between the South Asian nuclear neighbours intensified after the attack on the Indian parliament and which way the equation would play out is as puzzling as the international jigsaw.

Bloody October
While strategic planning on the economic and political front dominated the world scene in 2002, the two most explosive events took place in Bali and Moscow. The Indonesian tourist paradise of Bali exploded into hell fires with more than 200 tourists, most of them Australians, perishing in the Saturday night car bomb attack.

The US government and others blamed Osama bin Laden's Al-Qaeda for the attack and this month White House sources said they believed a video tape carried on Al-Jazeera television indicated that the dreaded bin Laden was still alive and planning another attack. The Bali calamity also provoked a major row between Malaysia and Australia, after Prime Minister John Howard claimed the right to launch pre-emptive strikes on any country where he believed terrorists were operating.

In Moscow, the terrorised Chechen rebels brought their own October revolution to the Russian capital. The three-day siege of the Moscow theatre where the rebels held some 800 people hostage ended on a horrifying note, seldom seen even in any fictional movie. The Russian special forces allegedly used a mysterious gas to make the rebels unconscious before killing them: But more than a hundred hostages also died of suffocation - turning President Vladimir Putin's momentous triumph into a tragedy.

As 2002 ends, North Korea has emerged somewhere on par with Saddam Hussein's Iraq as a threat to US interests and global strategy. Last week, South Korea elected a new President, Roh Moo Hyun, who won on a platform of forging closer links with the North and distancing his country from the US. The Bush administration showed a calm face while the North Korean regime of Kim Jong Il threatened to reactivate its uranium and plutonium nuclear programmes if the US did not enter into a non-aggression pact with it.

While most analysts saw North Korea's action as largely an act of brinkmanship or a strategic move, the tough-talking US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld put on another show. He told a Washington news conference this week, the US had the power to fight and win two wars at the same time - against Iraq and North Korea.

But the equation in the Korean peninsula is quite different from Iraq. North Korea has no oil while it is surrounded by nuclear powers Russia and China with Japan across the water.


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